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| ▲ | UltraSane an hour ago | parent [-] | | China and South Korea can build nuclear reactors cheaply. | | |
| ▲ | jltsiren 32 minutes ago | parent | next [-] | | One of the bids for the third reactor was for KEPCO's APR-1400. Like the other bids, it was too expensive to make sense without subsidies. China probably fits in the "politically undesirable" category these days. | |
| ▲ | ponector 24 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | There is no such thing as cheap nuclear reactor. Even cheaper Chernobyl type is expensive to build. | |
| ▲ | pydry 42 minutes ago | parent | prev [-] | | China and South Korea build everything more cheaply because they have a better developed industrial base. Solar and wind is still vastly cheaper for them and still much cheaper when paired with storage. | | |
| ▲ | UltraSane 33 minutes ago | parent [-] | | solar and wind is only cheaper up to a certain percentage of total power due to its unreliability. Every watt of wind and solar is subsidized by another dispatchable source. As a sysadmin it seems very comparable to the need to essentially buy 2x and only run things at 50% capacity. | | |
| ▲ | spikels 6 minutes ago | parent | next [-] | | The US uses ~0.5 TW of electricity on average but to go 100% solar you would need ~3 TW of solar capacity (6X average usage) and ~30 TWh of battery storage, maybe lots more, plus a massive upgrade to the grid. | |
| ▲ | pydry 15 minutes ago | parent | prev [-] | | This is what the oil and nuclear industry propaganda says. The reality is that solar and wind anticorrelate more than you think, demand shifting (e.g. charging the car when it's sunny) is easier than you think, batteries and pumped storage and power2gas are cheaper than you think and nuclear power is way, way, way, way more expensive than you think. |
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| ▲ | rayiner an hour ago | parent | next [-] | | It’s only expensive and brittle because environmentalists have choked it to death. They’re the third biggest villains of climate change, after consumers and oil companies. If the whole developed world had nuclearized the way France did, our discussions about climate change would be entirely different. We would have decades more runway to avoid 2C+ scenarios. We would have already electrified vast swaths of the economy, like home heating. We’d have extremely mature technology to give to developing countries that need massive baseload for industrial production. Today, we’d be discussing how many older nukes we could retire and replace with wind and solar plants. | | |
| ▲ | LinXitoW 25 minutes ago | parent | next [-] | | So its really safe, but also the evil regulations make it expensive. I'm certain there's ZERO correlation between regulations that make it expensive and regulations making it safe.................... So, where is the free market shitting out nuclear power? Anywhere? | | |
| ▲ | jrflowers 9 minutes ago | parent [-] | | > The Naval Nuclear Propulsion Program has over 7,500 reactor years of cumulative reactor operation, and nuclear powered ships have steamed over 175 million miles. Since the inception of the program, there has never been an accident involving a naval reactor nor a release of radioactivity to the environment which has adversely affected public health or safety. https://www.nr-ha.org/history |
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| ▲ | adjejmxbdjdn 38 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Ah yes, environmentalists have been running the world for the last few decades. Nuclear has never been financially viable and to the degree there has been “environmental” opposition it’s been NIMBY opposition to either the siting of the reactors or the siting of the disposal. But again, the primary reason no one is building nuclear is because it’s incredibly expensive. | | |
| ▲ | rayiner 17 minutes ago | parent [-] | | > Nuclear has never been financially viable We literally have a whole-ass G7 country that went 75% nuclear back in the 80s. |
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| ▲ | esarbe 36 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Ah, yes - "the evil environmentalists."
Congratulations, you really torched that straw man. We stopped building nuclear reactors in the early 1970ies[0], long before there was any large organized civil movement organizing against it - because with the required additional complexity to make them safe, the technology was just too expensive. (As always - it's the capitalists that messed things up, not civil society.) Despite having 70 years of progress, nuclear today is more expensive than ever. It just doesn't scale. France's nuclear operator EDF is €50 billion in debt. They make about €3 billion per year - and have between €150 - €200 billion investments on the table for the next 10 years. Go figure. [0] https://www.worldnuclearreport.org/Nuclear-Reactor-Construct... | | | |
| ▲ | pydry 39 minutes ago | parent | prev [-] | | >environmentalists have choked it to death. Those regulations you despise were written in blood. Moreover, Nuclear power enjoys free catastrophe insurance. If a Fukushima style meltdown happens, the taxpayer is always on the hook for 95%+ of the cleanup costs. So yeah, all you have to do is let them keep their freebie insurance, lavish them with subsidies and water down the regulations which make it vastly more likely that they'll need to use it. Or just build some solar, some wind and some storage, save a mountain of cash and have new generation projects take under five years to finish instead of more than 20. | | |
| ▲ | TimorousBestie 30 minutes ago | parent [-] | | > If a Fukushima style meltdown happens, the taxpayer is always on the hook for 95%+ of the cleanup costs. An apt reference. In both India and China it was the Fukushima disaster that spurred protests and stalled nuclear power growth. Organized environmental activism in both countries is basically nonexistent. I would rank US-led nonproliferation policies above environmental activism as a cause for slow nuclear adoption as well. (Nonproliferation was primarily a military objective, by the way, not an environmentalist one.) Many countries only have nuclear power programs because France decided to occasionally proliferate them, many times over US objections. | | |
| ▲ | pydry 23 minutes ago | parent [-] | | The effect environmentalists have on adoption is a rounding error compared to the humongous cost of nuclear power. Most non nuclear powers have a few for the same reason Iran does: having some nuclear scientists and a developed nuclear industry around is handy in case of a, uh, geopolitical "emergency". This is why Poland suddenly became interested in 2023 specifically. Most countries do not want a lot though - it's too expensive. | | |
| ▲ | TimorousBestie 18 minutes ago | parent [-] | | I agree, I also believe the overall startup cost and low ROI is more relevant than the occasional tree-hugger’s limited political influence. |
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| ▲ | Gud an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Every time this argument comes up, “it’s too slow and expensive “, I ask that person to please explain to me how my home country Sweden managed to build all those reactors in the 70s and 80s both fast and cheap? They’ve been amazing for us, despite the fact that some of them was recklessly shutdown prematurely by an ignorant political class. | | |
| ▲ | tialaramex 17 minutes ago | parent | next [-] | | What counts as "fast and cheap" ? For the renewables "Fast and cheap" turns out to mean you get the paperwork in the winter and you build a solar farm that summer, it's not quite sowing wheat - teams of competent people building the farm isn't the same thing as just chucking the seeds into the dirt with a machine, but the timeframe isn't so different. Sweden's nuclear plants seem to have taken maybe 6+ years from breaking ground (not paperwork) to first power, so if you begin today you might have a plant in 2032 at the earliest. I can't see any prices, not even a CfD strike price for Sweden's new proposed plants. The UK agreed £92.50 strike price (2012 prices) for the new nukes it may never actually receive, but unlike Sweden the UK has never pledged to relinquish nuclear weapons so to some extent having a native "nuclear" capability is relevant to national security. | |
| ▲ | adjejmxbdjdn 33 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | 1. Nuclear has a negative learning curve. It’s gotten more expensive with time. Part of the reason is increasing geopolitical risks (the U.S. just launched a war on Iran because of the possibility it may upgrade nuclear material to weapon capabilities), lost knowledge and expertise, and also the increasing relative cost of financing in the cost of energy projects. 2. Nuclear was built at a time when governments were much more likely to directly invest in energy projects. It didn’t have to compete with Labubus for private dollars. 3. Its current competition didn’t exist, given how much cheaper solar and wind have gotten, and how much cheaper battery tech has gotten with signs all of them will only get even cheaper. And on the non renewable side, natural gas has become incredibly cheaper as well. | | |
| ▲ | Gud 28 minutes ago | parent [-] | | 1. I personally believe the “lost knowledge “ is overstated. Europe knows very well how to manage large scale infrastructure projects. It still has a healthy nuclear industry. 2. Once the vote is there(Switzerland is a direct democracy), the public funds will be there. Sweden has recently chosen to invest ~40B Euro. 3. Solar, really? In Switzerland?
Many parts of the industrialised world receive very little sun, especially in winter, where coincidentally, energy usage peaks. And intermittent power generation like wind is no competition to nuclear. These are very weak arguments. Good luck replacing Oskarshamn with solar panels… |
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| ▲ | tokioyoyo an hour ago | parent | prev [-] | | Process works if you keep building, expanding and making it safer. If you don’t build it for decades, you’re basically starting from scratch. It is a hard sell when you have to front a good chunk of money, without a track record of successful build ups. It applies to other infrastructure stuff like HSR. | | |
| ▲ | Gud 39 minutes ago | parent [-] | | So let’s learn from that lesson and rebuild nuclear power in Europe? Let’s hope Switzerland takes the lead here, Sweden are already building. The political will is there. Let’s do it? |
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| ▲ | UltraSane an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Nuclear reactors can last up to 80 years. The main reason nuclear hasn't displaced fossil fuels over the last 70 years is due to relentless irrational opposition. | | | |
| ▲ | wat10000 31 minutes ago | parent | prev [-] | | Your link says increased modulation adds 1.5-3.75 million euros/year in maintenance costs. That's utterly insignificant for the electricity supply to a nation of 70 million. |
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