Reminds me of all of those ethics debates back when fully self driving cars were basically already here ca 10 years ago.

The ones talking about how hard it would be to chose which person to run over.

Additionally, I find it hard to believe that this would be a case of the future just not being distributed evenly.

But sure. The AI labs relying on hype stating 15-50% risk of building a magic entity is certainly a reliable number.

Things in the real world often take longer than expected. Still, in cities where Waymo operates, many people routinely ride autonomous vehicles and prefer them.

For software, however, a rapid turn is often a possibility. See: AI for coding over the last 3-4 years.

AI autocomplete --> AI coding assistants --> vibe coding --> agent orchestration

Coders can now accomplish work that used to take a week or longer in a couple of hours, with the right tools and skills.

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A key issue the article implies is that the real world increasingly runs on software.

I have had my license for over 20 years and to this day have not encountered a single event where I had to decide who to kill

I mean, I'm very much tech-forward and have spent the past decade in major world cities and I've seen a driverless car once in my life. Sometimes things that seem inevitable really aren't.