The idea that progress is “slow” in the AI space is absurd. These are some of the fastest growing products and companies of all time. The models are still improving a surprising amount.

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dotdi 3 hours ago | parent | next [-]

It's not that absolute progress is slow, it's extremely slow compared to the predictions. It might be fast in absolute terms, but the "50% of coders will be obsolete by 2023" has been renewed every six months, and it's becoming increasingly clear that there's a real chance it might not ever happen.

	▲	mirekrusin an hour ago \| parent [-]
		„Coders being obsolete” is not a measure of AI capabilities. I see coders being more busy than ever before. I see people without coding knowledge getting more behind. The gap is widening, not shrinking.

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Retric 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

I suspected you felt that way even though it hasn’t been my personal experience.

I’ve heard people say older models can’t do X, when I used that way etc. I suspect people are applying their own learning curve as part of their assessment of progress, you get better at writing prompts and it feels like the model improved.

Which is why I’m saying we need some objective metrics to judge predictions of actual capacity.