They have been wrong in a way that's bad: underestimating the speed and size of progress. So if the "experts" claim a timeline and magnitude, it would be safest to assume an even faster timeline and a bigger impact.

In fairness, they've been operating with a lot of built up cynicism from major breakthroughs that have been 3-5 years away for the past five decades.

I wonder...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Technological_singularity

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Singularity_Is_Near

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