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paulmist 5 hours ago

According to IEA[1] most capacity in Europe is from South Korean companies.

[1] https://www.iea.org/data-and-statistics/charts/share-of-manu...

JumpCrisscross 5 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Still physically in Europe. That’s mostly what counts.

throwaway85825 5 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Not exactly. Most of the people who work on site at semi conductor fabs actually work in the office building next door. Batteries are similar.

JumpCrisscross 5 hours ago | parent | next [-]

That doesn’t change that the fab is physically in Europe. Not Korea. That’s what matters. Not whose name is on the paperwork.

usrnm 5 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Not really? The questin is, if South Korea stops all cooperation with the EU tomorrow, will that fab continue to be operational? If the answer is "no", then it matters. It matters a lot

twoodfin 3 hours ago | parent | next [-]

This is fan fiction. The reason it matters is as a proof point that the farrago of EU regulation, labor markets, supply chains, trade policy, … is adequate to support battery production at scale.

dindunuf 2 hours ago | parent [-]

great many things from the past 10 years would've been fan fiction, conspiracy theories, and slippery slope fallacies 20 years ago. for better or worse, this boring dystopia is not yet the end of history.

toomuchtodo 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

You walk in, as the EU, and assume control of the facility, by force if needed. The value is that the capacity exists within the bounds of your nation state control.

China knows this, developed countries that lost their manufacturing capacity are relearning this.

higginsniggins 4 hours ago | parent | next [-]

The value is not in the literal buildings, the value is in the people, the managers,engineers,etc and the owners who know how to run it.

The people who are hired and organized by the korean comapny. This is litterlly the logic that collapsed venezuela's oil industry after it was seized by the state.

JumpCrisscross 2 hours ago | parent | next [-]

> The value is not in the literal buildings, the value is in the people

The people are physically in Europe, too. (Adding limits on remote management for national-security reasons might make sense.)

If Korea and Europe get in a war, or, more likely, China pressures them to straight up ditch that capital investment, that lets the EU hold those folks until knowledge transfer can be conducted. Again, this is a strategically different place of leverage from those assets being overseas.

joe_mamba 4 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

>The value is not in the literal buildings, the value is in the people, the managers,engineers,etc and the owners who know how to run it.

Holy shit, finally someone who understands this, this comments needs to be to the top.

Same thing happened in my ex-commie country when the communists kicked out the capitalists, shipped them to UK, US, Switzerland, and took over their factories. Over years and decades, those factories became inefficient and went bust under state control, while those capitalists who got kicked out flourished by making new business in their new homes that were business-friendly countries.

Just because you seize factories doesn't mean anything if you don't know what to do, they're just commodity equipment anyone else can buy within walls and a roof. The people with the secret-sauce know-how and IP are just as if not more valuable.

That's why US had operation Paperclip.

If you go to a TSMC factory, you'll find the same ASML EUV machines every other country and and company on the planet (minus China) has access to buy, but yet only TSMC can extract the smallest nodes and highest yields because only they managed to perfect the entire process.

to11mtm 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

...errrr....

I think the EU performing such an action is outside the Overton window, at least for now...

China does know that but they knew how to make the deal palatable enough for auto manufacturers (other companies too, but this one IMO is a big factor in the grand scheme[0]) to all sell out one way or another for a stake in the pie, be it cheaper manufacturing or accessing that market.

Developed countries are re-learning it but are struggling with paying the piper. By that I mean, a lot of manufacturing, especially technology based, can be dirty as heck. Doing certain widgets results in environmental costs that have to be managed or externalized[1].

[0] - I posit, that Auto manufacturers probably keep a lot of documentation around, but also have a lot of history of 'good ideas' being killed by business politics one way or another. You can glean a -lot- of manufacturing tribal knowledge being able to access any existing or new incoming data on that set of signals.

[1] - No, we should not externalize, to be clear.

mjmas 5 hours ago | parent [-]

The UK did just recently do that for a Chinese-owned steel mill.

nomel 4 hours ago | parent [-]

There are ~500 steel mills in Europe. 6 in the UK alone.

anakaine 2 hours ago | parent [-]

That doesnt make the action any less meaningful, and perhaps suggest it was done with caution, prudence and forethought.

usrnm 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

You walk in and realize that there is nothing worthwile inside. The knowledge is gone or was never even there, all the inputs are gone, the process is in shambles, all you have is four walls and some bricked machinery. What now?

toomuchtodo 4 hours ago | parent [-]

You start with something instead of nothing.

coldtea 4 hours ago | parent [-]

Got it backwards.

You had something: production. Now you have nothing.

Danox an hour ago | parent [-]

Great Britain used to have something but now they have nothing industrial wise in comparison to the past and to get it back you have to completely change your current attitude at all levels, which will take decades for there is no shortcut and the same basically applies to America, which has been decommissioning industry and offloading it overseas since the early 1960s.

coldtea 4 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

LOL, EU and the Dutch tried to pull this shit with Nexperia, it failed miserably and they reversed course fast.

NoLinkToMe 4 hours ago | parent | next [-]

These aren't comparable situations.

For one it's a peace-time situation where strong-arming interventions are met with consequences, in this case China can stop supply of critical products to punish the Dutch. In a wartime situation such supply would've been stopped anyway, so there is nothing further to lose and everything to gain from an intervention, but such an intervention is only possible if the factory is on your soil.

Second, Nexperia is a legitimate Dutch company with Dutch expertise. The Chinese bought it. The Dutch don't need Chinese expertise to operate the local factory they built and sold to the Chinese.

Third, China is a global hegemon, South Korea isn't by comparison, and South Korea is a neighbour of China, the Netherlands isn't. China could pressure a battery factory in South Korea during a military conflict by military force, but in Western Europe that's a different story.

Danox an hour ago | parent | prev [-]

A reversal can be done. It’s just that it takes long range planning capital and continued hard work.

mmooss 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> if South Korea stops all cooperation with the EU tomorrow

That doesn't happen between democracies and hasn't for generations, except for one democracy recently. I don't know that it happens between any significant economies, outside of wars (when and where has it happened?), except one recently. Trade is reliable, despite the nationalist attempt to use FUD. That's how countries get access to the best products and sell their best products.

holmesworcester 4 hours ago | parent | next [-]

It does introduce a dependency on South Korea's ability to defend its democracy, though.

throwaway85825 24 minutes ago | parent | next [-]

It was very funny watching the South Korean legislators holding off the Korean seals by barricading the doors with chairs.

mmooss 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

The plant will keep running regardless of events on the other side of Eurasia - during a war South Korea would want the revenue, especially from a locale safe from attack. If SK lost - an awful outcome - it wouldn't be sudden.

jbxntuehineoh an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> except one recently

> Trade is reliable

"reliable except when it isn't" is just a convoluted way of saying "unreliable"

jameslk 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> That doesn't happen between democracies and hasn't for generations, except for one democracy recently.

Neoliberalism and globalization is what guaranteed this. That is, Pax Americana. The US thought it was a great idea to become the reserve currency of the world, and became a net importer to spread the dollar. The dollar hegemony gave the US great influence and it defended it with its military. Becoming a net importer hollowed out the US industrial base as it moved overseas, which was fine until China speedran owning large parts of the industrial production and exportation. They also very quickly moved up the ranks of economic and geopolitical sway.

Now the US is ditching globalization for more mercantilist policies. That means the US will be less influential in a multi-polar world, as it can no longer strongarm so easily through the dollar. Trade will become more closed off as other countries rush to do the same now that they are less supported by the US military and economic influence and need to defend themselves more.

Thus, I wouldn’t discount the possibility that the EU stops cooperating as much with SK in the future

dnautics 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

> "except one recently"

russia and {ukraine, georgia, etc}?

mmooss 3 hours ago | parent [-]

Assuming we're talking about all countries, not only democracies: I qualified it with, 'short of war', which excludes Russia. That leaves only one that I know of.

embedding-shape 5 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

If it does go both ways (say "EU stops all cooperation") and the effects are the same, and no one wants the factory to actually shut down, does something start to matter more/less then?

jdnfnfnfn 5 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

[dead]

fakedang 5 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Doesn't matter if it's humans or robots, as long as they're producing batteries within reasonably stringent environmental constraints.

That being said, extremely disappointing that the world's most populous country can't be arsed to maximize battery output. They don't seem to be anywhere in the rankings.

dyauspitr 4 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

I disagree. If the majority of workers aren’t European and the supply chain comes directly from Asia then the local ecosystem is not developed and if the Asian company pulls out there is no way to keep doing it locally.

llm_nerd 5 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

[flagged]

nozzlegear 4 hours ago | parent [-]

What made you jump to American exceptionalism? Their comment doesn't even mention the US. It could've been Chinese exceptionalism for all you know, which would've been more plausible since China has such crazy numbers.

But honestly, why can't it just be a comment about the EU numbers without this weird jingoism attached?