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himata4113 6 hours ago

We will see, the big concern here is that lifespans start increasing faster than aging, ex: you're a ~40 year old and estimated lifespan is 80, but by the time you're 60 it's 90, by the time you're 80 it's 100 and at some point it might start increasing faster than the speed you age at. Of course we might be a few generations away from where this is the case, but it's a scary thought.

Another would be the power your family carries, generations might not have survived into the most recent era, but their investments had a large impact on the world we live in today as dilluted as it is. I believe that this will become worse where very few people are able to dictate the direction our world will end up in - a dystopian coorperate nightmare.

somenameforme 5 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Bit of a tangent, but that was a view popularized by Kurzweil and is very poorly supported. The reason is that life expectancy increases over the past are overwhelmingly driven by decreases in childhood mortality. Look at more or less any sample of humanity in the past that was free from the direct effects of war/famine, and you find life expectancy for those who reach adulthood to be extremely comparable to modern times. For instance the Founding Fathers are a simple people often find surprising - with some even living on into their 90s. People didn't just drop dead at 40, but rather when one person dies in childhood and the other in his 80s, you end up with a life expectancy of around 40.

The thing about life is that you're doing awesome, then you hit senescence, your body starts shutting down and you're going to die. As Warren Buffet recently put it in his final letter to shareholders, "When balance, sight, hearing and memory are all on a persistently downward slope, you know Father Time is in the neighborhood." He's perfectly healthy for his age, a multi-billionaire, and is not long for this world. It's how elderly people can seem to be in amazing health, and then 6 months later they're dead 'of old age'.

So life expectancy zoomed way up until the point that a newborn started to be able to reach around that age of senescence, but then gains started rapidly plateauing. And this makes perfect sense. We'll see global life expectancy continue to increase as more people are able to hit those years, but it's not really significantly moving, hasn't for millennia, and there's no real reason to think that's going to change.

himata4113 5 hours ago | parent [-]

Isn't life expentancy 95th percentile where infant/sids deaths are excluded? Either way I am pretty sure the topmost of life expentancy has also been increasing faster.

But you're right, even if we solve biological aging our brains will likely give out and will take even more generations on top of that to ever come close to solving it.

somenameforme 5 hours ago | parent [-]

Typical life expectancy figures include childhood and infant mortality. In the past it's not like people just hit their 40s and keeled over, but rather many people didn't make it to 15. But if they did, then they tended to live comparable lives to you and I if insulated from famine/war/plague. For another random example, running for Consul in Ancient Rome had a minimum age of 42.

Here [1] is a source from a recent study overviewing shifts in life expectancy, if the word of some guy named somenameforme on the internet is, for some reason, insufficient by itself.

[1] - https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2025/10/251026021749.h...

datadrivenangel 5 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

All the new tech gods will eventually die of cancer due to prop 65 (thanks California.)

tanseydavid 23 minutes ago | parent [-]

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