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TekMol 5 hours ago

    AI isn’t replacing me. Like a toddler, it
    needs to be constantly coached.
Like a toddler, it will grow up.

Humans are really bad at noticing trajectories. They see the current situation. They know what the situation was 5 years ago. But for some reason they do not believe that there is a trajectory. They view the present state as the final destination.

allknowingfrog 5 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Sure, just like AI enthusiasts seem to be unfamiliar with the concept of local maxima...

4 hours ago | parent [-]
[deleted]
jubilanti 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> Like a toddler, it will grow up. Humans are really bad at noticing trajectories.

Yourself included??

FromTheFirstIn 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

It’s been basically the same for 3 years now. Are you sure we’re the ones who can’t see trends?

Ancapistani 3 hours ago | parent [-]

Your experiences must be much different from mine.

Three years ago, AI was barely able to provide sort-of reliable command completion.

Two years ago, it could extrapolate a single function from a docstring - but the docstring had to be so verbose that it wasn't practical to use in that way.

A year ago, I was tinkering with Devin to try to find a way to get it to reliably implement small, isolated features from verbose Jira tickets.

Six months ago, I started using AI to generate the majority of my code output. Most of my time was spent reviewing, and I was ecstatic to reach ~2x output because I could run the next task while reviewing the last.

Now, at work I'm managing a half dozen Claude Code instances, Devin sessions, and orchestrating a review loop between Claude, Devin, and CodeRabbit. It's not uncommon for me to be working on four or more discrete features at once. My output is approximately 15x my pre-AI baseline - and I've not sat down and written a line of code directly in six months.

At home I'm managing a Hermes agent that can spin up a whole fleet of purpose-tuned agents for whatever purpose I'd like. I've implemented spec-driven development a'la Acai, and extended it to the point that my agent creates specs from text or voice conversation, I review them, and it handles implementation end-to-end. The code itself is an almost disposable artifact - useful primarily to ensure no regressions have been introduced between rounds.

... I simply don't understand how you can assert that "it's been basically the same for 3 years". It absolutely has not.

robertnowell 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

head in the sand