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jldugger 7 hours ago

>AI Exponential

How much of the policy prescription changes if the exponential is actually just a series of sigmoids[1]?

[1]: https://x.com/ylecun/status/1799064075487572133

aspenmartin 6 hours ago | parent [-]

Ooof a Yann LeCun quote from '24, a risky time period to be mining his quotes from lol. But I think broadly he's right, but the argument is: we don't see any evidence for the curve flattening, and we should plan for it _not_ to flatten any time soon. "It will eventually slow down" is true but its meaningless if you dont put any sort of time period on this.