There is an observational study that was published in March 2026 that followed 4000 teams over 2 years. It shows, in my view, exactly that the productivity gains don't translate into economic value.

Here is the report:

https://www.faros.ai/blog/ai-acceleration-whiplash-takeaways

And my commentary:

https://unessays.substack.com/p/talk-is-cheap

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asdfasgasdgasdg 3 hours ago | parent [-]

If it was published in March 2026, even if the data was collected up to the day the study was published, 7/8ths of it would fail my “within the last six months” test. But I am looking forward to the results of future studies on this topic!

	▲	oudlys 2 hours ago \| parent [-]
		I get wanting to wait for more data. And thinking that LLMs have improved enough that this will change. My view is that it's not really about how good the models are - it's about how we're using them. Understanding what you've built is an important part of value creation, and LLMs eliminate that.