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weatherlite 4 hours ago

I agree but I think it would take awhile. Some of us here seem to believe 2026-2027 is the end of programming jobs. At least that's Amodei seemed to be saying but then changed his mind later on?

skeledrew 2 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Well given the pace of improvement so far, it's possible - though not given, IMO - that before 2028 we'll have models that make programming jobs fully obsolete. But that doesn't mean jobs will suddenly disappear; many places, especially in 3rd world countries, will continue to have humans programming for a while yet. Just that the available positions will slowly taper out over several more years, until only the most critical systems are maintained by a few humans, and programming - and other knowledge work - becomes purely hobby. Manual work will follow the same trajectory as AI also accelerates innovation in robotics.

weatherlite 25 minutes ago | parent [-]

It's possible , yes. For now I'm betting against it, we'll see.

jplusequalt 4 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Amodei has a track record of saying blatantly false shit in order to drive hype. At this rate, I see him as a snake oils salesman.