> Some of those Rust advantages are exactly the same things that have been touted as major advantages for Java over C++, like escape analysis and lifetimes.

These aren't the biggest advantages. I would say that the biggest ones are aggressive speculative optimisations that allow inlining of virtual calls (by default, up to a depth of 15 calls) and the ability to freely move pointers, which allows alternatives to free-list-based memory management. Low-level languages can't afford pervasive speculative optimisation (as they're focused on the worst case) and can't allow most of their pointers to be moved (because they often share them directly with the hardware and/or device drivers).

> and the wiki page on Java performance [0] is repeating what I understood.

That may be because the information on that page seems to be up to date to 2011-2. Java is now on version 26, BTW.