I'm genuinely curious why you say this is different from the dot-com bubble?

As I see it, this is the exact same situation - wildly overvalued companies based on investor exuberance, the underlying business is not capable of supporting this kind of valuation. IPO tends to be the crunch point at which this overvaluation is exposed. Once exposed, the valuation correction spreads to other similar businesses quickly and the bubble pops.

What's the self-correction ability that AI companies have?

▲

JumpCrisscross 29 minutes ago | parent [-]

> genuinely curious why you say this is different from the dot-com bubble?

A lot more revenue. Dot coms were going public pre revenue. And Anthropic is profitable. Both it and SpaceX wouldn’t be dependent on further stock sales to stay alive—that lets them weather a downturn.

	▲	marcus_holmes 9 minutes ago \| parent [-]
		As I understand the situation, Anthropic is revenue-positive but not profitable. As usual, Ed Zitron covers this well [0]. As with the dot-com bubble, there is a lot of voodoo accountancy (and flat-out lies) about the actual situation here. As I understand it, the basic problem is that the big three can't charge enough per token to cover costs because they're in competition with each other (and one of those is Google that can afford to buy market share using its other operating revenues), and the OSS/cheap Chinese models. And this situation is unlikely to get better in the short term because building cheaper per-token capacity is very expensive and time-consuming. [0] https://www.wheresyoured.at/anthropics-profitability-swindle...