> AI can scale intensively and extensively. AI can be scaled up by upping the compute budgets. AI can be replicated and copied indefinitely. AI doesn't have the innate human "I don't live to work, I work to live" overhead. AI can outclass human intelligence by a long shot.

These are claims about future AI, not actual facts. Part of the counter argument is the world will already be awash in AIs institutions and individuals make use of. An ASI would arise in a world that is already full of formidable intelligences that provide a check on what it can do. This is what happened with the evolution of replicators/life. No species was able to fully dominate the biosphere because there are too many other capable replicators, and there are always tradeoffs in capabilities.

We imagine the possibility of an unrestrained god-like ASI ruling the solar system. But it's just that, an imagination backed by the assumption that self-recursive improvement leads there. Problem is, the real world never turns out to be that simple.

It's probably the case that alien ASI replicators aren't devouring the universe either because of various restraints.