> , models will “be able to complete most text-related tasks with success rates of, on average, 80%–95% by 2029 at a minimally sufficient quality level.”

If this is true, then companies should focus on hiring juniors out of college. The investment is less risky.

However, I don't personally believe this number and timeline is true, but if you do, the conclusion should be to wait and invest in humans.

10% failure rate? Wouldn't that be depending on task disastrous? Or possibly expensive?

I think any juniors who keep failing 10% of text based task will eventually get fired... So investing in those that don't fail seems only sensible move as usual.

Oof. And how much more expensive will the models be to get that 80%?