interesting enough to read this. One thing that is not talked about is why would homes just keep going up, i understand the math behind it and what appreciation does to a home value. where is the cap that a visually home is 150k but market value over the three previous years has gone up 4% for example. This makes sense for high value areas, and upcoming areas. My confusion lies in the market value and negative equity. separate the mortgage "rate" and "market value, est home value" We can expect some gain is a guarantee, this could be 20% or 4% in 5-7 years of residing. The chilling wonder of rates exceeding 4%-6% is temporary as we saw previously in the 80's and 90's. Someone can argue that indeed this is a natural cycle of mortgage financing, however my conclusion is to draw attention of the the span of time that mortgage rate have stayed high and the implications of inevitably adjusting to lower rates by the feds. The president has persisted to lower the rates regardless of the Chair's decisions. Lower rates cannot be done alone. The market also needs adjusting at the same time. Sure by adjusting the rates will have an immediate effects on the market as well, but not large enough.

Those that have updated and added additional features to their home did so with materials and services bought during high pricing. It is true that a deck built a year ago is going to be 20% less for example. later when selling a home how will this reflect on the bigger picture for the total price. Let alone the market when the cooling takes affect you will owe more than what the home is worth lets say. So my confusion is brought by a conversation with a coworker. Stated that he wanted to buy a home at 21 years old i said that unless you have a family and know that you will be stable in that location for arpox 5-7 years that sure, however when the market cools and your locked in mortgage rate is XX% how will you sell you home and come out even or even +.

Response: equity

me: you mean negative equity!

response: homes are only going up.

me: to what a million dollar for a two bedroom, one bath dwelling located in a busy street and minimal parking and adjacent to neighboring property.

He seemed convinced, he seemed to convince me that i was wrong.