| ▲ | lenerdenator 5 hours ago |
| Follow the money. People over 55 are most concerned about one thing: retirement. Retirement, by definition, requires living off of money that you did not labor for. In the US, you do this by holding assets that yield returns on your investment. Over the last half-century, we've made returning that yield the main objective of publicly-traded corporations to the complete exclusion of everything else. People like Schmidt were hired by boards, who were elected by shareholders, with the hope that they'd increase returns. The biggest shareholders in most American companies are pension and retirement funds, followed by funds that are not necessarily retirement funds but are often used by individuals to back IRAs and 401(k)s. When the executives of Schmidt's generation were hired, they were incentivized with stock options instead of cash. Their compensation was directly tied to how much money was returned to shareholders. When you maximize a return to a shareholder, you do that by minimizing the costs of the inputs to the business. One of those costs is labor. Payroll, benefits, the costs of the office space people work in, etc. GenAI offers shareholders - which can be seen as synonymous with people who are approaching retirement or who are retirees - a promise of massively reducing labor costs. In the minds of a lot of institutional investors, they could have companies where the same amount of value is created with only c-suite and executive-level employees working with teams of AI agents that, over time, will become cheaper and cheaper. What was once hundreds or thousands of employees is now a few dozen. Now, where does this leave young and middle-aged people? In a place where they have a wildly uncertain future. But that's not the retiree's problem. They want the villa on the golf course in Florida, and by the time you have real social problems resulting from a population with no hope for the future, the retirees will be dead or too old to care. Schmidt's cohort, for their part, have enough money to deal with those problems in the near to mid-term. Or, at least, they think they do. EDIT: Love getting downvoted for what is, essentially, a factual statement. |
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| ▲ | triceratops 3 hours ago | parent | next [-] |
| > Retirement, by definition, requires living off of money that you did not labor for So like you just get handed money to retire without ever working a day in your life? Please tell how this works I want some of that. |
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| ▲ | lenerdenator 2 hours ago | parent [-] | | You do once you exhaust the value of the retirement account that matches the principal that you invested into it. | | |
| ▲ | triceratops 31 minutes ago | parent [-] | | If money from investments made with earned money isn't also earned money then no money is earned money. |
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| ▲ | jedberg 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| Your argument is a bit flawed though. Most retires get income from a few places: Social Security, 401K, or rental property. 401k's will do great with AI replacing all labor. But social security will disappear and so will rental income, because no one will be able to afford housing anymore. |
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| ▲ | lenerdenator 2 hours ago | parent [-] | | Most 401(k)s are backed by stocks and bonds. At least in the short term, yes, they'll do great as labor costs shrink in relation to the money earned by selling goods and services. However, if you have fewer and fewer people able to consume because they no longer have income, well, then you have the same problem as you do with housing and social security. People say that universal basic income is a fix, but let's be honest: employers don't pay people more than they absolutely have to right now, and that's with most of the value earned for the employers being provided by people doing actual work for them. What makes anyone think they'll gladly cough up for those who don't work for them, especially at an amount that will allow most people's standard of living to either remain steady or improve? |
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| ▲ | mikestew 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| Retirement, by definition, requires living off of money that you did not labor for. “Factual statement“, that’s hilarious. Nothing wrong with an op-ed, but with an opening like that you might want to step back and re-examine those “facts”. |
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| ▲ | jedberg 2 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | OP wrote it poorly, but isn't wrong. Most retires get income from a few places: Social Security, 401K, or rental property. Social security is a direct transfer of money from people currently working to people no longer working. The amount you get is vaguely based on how much you earned when you worked, but it's not like the money you paid in went into a savings account for you. It went to the people who were already retired. Remember, the first recipients of SS never paid in anything. It's been a long chain of working paying non-working ever since. 401k's are usually based on stocks. The value of stocks is based on the labor of the people who work at the company. The dividends and interest come from that labor too. Once again, at one point you were that labor, but your labor was going to retired people, and now it's "your turn". And rental income comes from people giving you the money they get from their labor. You used your labor to buy the house, but the current money comes from their labor. Now the rest of what they are saying is flawed because two of those three would go away if AI replaced all labor. But they are correct in saying that your cashflow in retirement comes from other people's labor, just as your labor went to other people when you were working. | |
| ▲ | lenerdenator 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | It's exactly factual. Let's say you take 10% of each paycheck, withdraw it as cash, and put it in a safe in my basement from my first paycheck to my last one 40 years later. The safe is a safe. It earns no interest. No one else contributes to the monetary value of the contents of the safe in any way. The 40 years are up. You need to pay for groceries. You go down to my basement and behold the fruits of four decades of toil. You take some of it to the grocery store... and it takes up a far, far larger percentage of your cash pile than you thought it would. Inflation got you. In fact, if we're talking about 40 years ending this last April, it shaved 66.6% off of the purchasing power of the money in that safe. Uh oh. So how do you deal with inflation? Instead of putting your money in a safe, you put it in a retirement account. That retirement account creates wealth for you by investing your money into equities, bonds, and other assets. Equities and bonds typically grow in value by backing the asset with the surplus value generated by the labor of the people who are doing work for the entity that issued the equity or the bond. Could you also invest in assets that don't get their returns off of other people's labor? Of course, but most retirement accounts in the US today do not do this. So, yes, you're living off of money that you did not labor for, at least after you exhaust the inflation-adjusted value of the principal you put up for your retirement savings. |
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| ▲ | QuercusMax 5 hours ago | parent | prev [-] |
| Since when does retirement mean living off money you didn't labor for? The whole point is the opposite - you can only retire if you have enough resources/income (pension, 401K, gold bars, etc) that you can support yourself without working. In the US we have a problem that a lot of seniors can't afford to retire. |
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| ▲ | lenerdenator 2 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | > Since when does retirement mean living off money you didn't labor for? The whole point is the opposite - you can only retire if you have enough resources/income (pension, 401K, gold bars, etc) that you can support yourself without working. Since inflation was a thing, so since ever. If you take the money you labored for and put it in an account without accruing any sort of interest, you will have exactly what you earned to live off of without working. Since that happens over a span of decades - let's say forty years - that needs to account for the reduction in value brought about by inflation. You offset that using interest generated by loans issued by the institution that operates the account (which is not you laboring) or by returns from owning equities (which is the output of other people's labor). I suppose the gold bars you mention could rise in value enough to offset inflation without resorting to taking a slice of someone else's economic output, but that's not how most retirement accounts are backed. > In the US we have a problem that a lot of seniors can't afford to retire. We also have the problem that a lot of people at the beginning and middle of their lives don't have the standard of living that their parents had despite doing all of the "right" things. | |
| ▲ | infamouscow 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | > In the US we have a problem that a lot of seniors can't afford to retire. Gen Z and majority of millennials are completely unsympathetic to this problem. From their perspective, older generations have actively hindered their careers and financial opportunities to the point where they know they'll have to work their entire lives. They also know the US is marching towards financial calamity when Medicare becomes insolvent in the early 2030s, and don't anticipate Medicare or Social Security to exist when they're older. | | |
| ▲ | pesus 2 hours ago | parent [-] | | Elaborating on this viewpoint: those seniors also had their chance to save for retirement in the cushiest and most prosperous economy of all time. If they didn't choose to do that because they wanted to party or "find themselves", that's on them, and they still got to live it up for cheap while simultaneously removing the ability of future generations to do the same. No millennial or gen Z is going to care that they didn't bother to save a few bucks in a time when houses and college cost as much as a McChicken. Obviously there are exceptions, but that's the general perception. |
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