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bsimpson 5 hours ago

That's a core mechanic in games like Dispatch.

People don't like seeing a 95% chance of winning and then losing. The game tweaks the odds, so certain thresholds become gimmes (something like "if the displayed odds are better than 75%, treat them as 100%").

tantalor 5 hours ago | parent | next [-]

That's stupid. That would piss me off.

a_t48 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Fire Emblem does something complex with averaging random numbers to do the same thing - a 95% chance to hit becomes 99.5, and the reverse for low percentages.

lmm 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Conversely weather forecasters report a 40% chance of rain when the actual chance is 10% or similar.

So I have a bit of sympathy for people who don't have a good intuition for probabilities, given that the world is constantly gaslighting them.