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softwaredoug 2 hours ago

People consistently have a hard time understanding that 30% probabilities happen all the time.

triceratops 2 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Surely not all the time.

BobaFloutist 18 minutes ago | parent | next [-]

I think given the number of things that can happen with ~30% probability, there's probably something significant happening with ~30% probability at basically all times.

Lerc an hour ago | parent | prev [-]

30% of the time it is all of the time.

Yossarrian22 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Some say 30% of the time.

krapp 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Where Presidential politics is concerned, I think it's less a case of misunderstanding probabilities and more the success of party propaganda. Every victory is a landslide with a resounding mandate from the populace, every defeat a crushing humiliation and repudiation of your opponent's Unamerican ideals.