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adleyjulian 4 hours ago

The point of the article is that people are historically bad at predicting when exponential curves plateau, even if they're correct that there will be a plateau.

This does *not* imply the inevitability of AGI. It does not imply AGI is necessarily bad.

It does mean that "the capabilities of AI will eventually plateau" offers no meaningful predictive power or relevance to the overall AI discussion.