When has that ever happened though?

LLMs are software there's no plausible way to stop them running locally.

California is trying to ban the sale of 3d printers that don't detect and block "gun parts" from being printed[1]. All Anthropic and friends need is some kind of safety rationale and we won't be able to buy computers that can run local models.

The plausible way to do this is to force all software through some kind of signing process. This would be trivial for Apple to pull off and not much harder for Microsoft. On the Linux side, I expect the systemd folks would be happy to add some kind of signature checking to "head off the inevitable".

[1] https://old.reddit.com/r/3Dprinting/comments/1rek7ky/new_cal...

They're already nearly there. Once everybody's computers are rooted for age verification, with government-approved OSes, it's barely even a step to only allow government-approved AI on them.

For some reason, people assume that mandatory age/identity verification on people's machines is primarily geared toward reporting across the network. If you wanted to age-restrict across the network, there are any number of trivial ways to do it that they have never even entertained. The reason that the first victims of this legislation are operating systems is because they, like Apple, Google, and Microsoft already have, want to restrict the software you can run.

They have to make sure that you can't have AI that can make pictures of naked children, or naked anything, or that might "underreport" the number of casualties in the Tienanmen Square protests, or could cast doubt on the vaccine (whichever vaccine), or say anything that could be interpreted as anti-Semitic (like that the Palestinians aren't savage animals), etc., etc....

This is already easy to get public support on, because in the same way they whipped up bizarre mind control allegations against genuinely evil social media companies to throw the public off the scent, the public is being groomed with absolutely bizarre and incoherent predictions of the evils of generative AI in order to throw them off the actual evils of the people behind generative AI. The same way that the anti-social media agitprop just resulted in TikTok being sold to explicit propagandists during a genocide and age attestation (as the social media giants do business without interruption), the "AI scaremongering" is just going to result in physical restrictions on individuals running AI - it will be tracked like explosives or nuclear material. The giant AI companies will be sold as the solution, just like closed platform software "stores" from Apple and Google are sold as consumer protection.

> When has that ever happened though?

Microsoft has to sign Linux so it can be installed under Secure Boot. Encryption was regulated as arms export, and is fully under attack again.