The point of “durable” implying stored to durable media is precisely that it allows the operator of the system to make that kind of calculation. They know the disks they picked and the replication chosen, and as long as the database calls fsync, their calculations will work.

My beef is with database systems that use the argument you made further up thread to skip fsync to juice their performance numbers. Data is not “durable” if turning off the machines storing it means it’s lost, that’s a category difference, not a pure probability difference as you are claiming.

It is of course totally fine to not store data to durable media and say the risk of devops doing a coordinated reboot is as low as the risk of raid disk data loss, but then don’t use the word “durable”.

That definition of durable doesn’t seem useful to me, sorry. I want the failure rates and scenarios.