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rwmj 7 hours ago

Chip manufacturing is insanely hard, it requires know-how, that's the moat. It's not money, otherwise the EU and China would have leading edge fabs.

Machine learning has no real moat. There's no network effect, it's not hard (you can just throw money at the problem). It's not data, because we have an existence proof that general intelligence can be trained by a few humans and a shelf full of books. The compute to do it is generally available. As soon as one organization releases open weights, everyone can use it immediately, even on modest local hardware.

aurareturn 6 hours ago | parent [-]

  Chip manufacturing is insanely hard, it requires know-how, that's the moat. It's not money, otherwise the EU and China would have leading edge fabs.
So is SOTA LLM training. There is OpenAI and Anthropic and there is everyone else. Gemini has fallen behind a bit as well.

There were tens of chip manufacturers in the 80s and 90s. Most of them have been absorbed or went backrupt. Just like SOTA LLM training now. Today, TSMC is a monopoly for SOTA nodes. The only reason Intel can survive is due to geopoltics.