| ▲ | nradov 3 hours ago | ||||||||||||||||
You're not making any sense. I never claimed that a bunch of farmers have mixed orchards. Some farmers have too many peach trees right now because Del Monte got their forecasts wrong so now those farmers will chop down the peach trees and probably plant something else. Olive oil demand is still trending up so that might be a possibility in some cases, there are lots of options. That's just how farming works: you have to place your bets and then work for years to see if they pay off. | |||||||||||||||||
| ▲ | cogman10 3 hours ago | parent [-] | ||||||||||||||||
> I never claimed that a bunch of farmers have mixed orchards. You claimed > Every year farmers cut down a bunch of trees and plant new ones in response to costs and market demand. What do you mean responding to "costs and market demand"? You also claimed > They forecast future trends as best they can and will replace trees (or other crops) when it seems profitable. Both those statements would imply that you have orchard farmers who are growing and harvesting multiple types of crops. Unless you are trying to say that it's common for a fruit farmer to completely destroy an orchards and replace with with a new crop. Both, frankly, are ridiculous claims which are quickly dispatched with "Why aren't there more olive trees". If the reaction to market forces was that fast, the expectation is that last 10 years of raised olive prices would have caused a lot of these farmers to uproot and plant olive trees. It's currently a very lucrative crop and California is certainly amenable to growing olives. > That's just how farming works: you have to place your bets and then work for years to see if they pay off. I agree with this statement. Farming is a game of placing bets on the future of the market. But I disagree that orchard farmers are commonly just diving head first into switching crops in any sort of fashion. It takes a severe event, like their primary distributor going bankrupt, to move an orchard farmer towards new crops. That is not common or business as usual. | |||||||||||||||||
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