It's an iterated prisoner's dilemma with all the other developers in the world, and some are vocally choosing to defect. The only rational strategy then is to also defect.

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dakiol 6 hours ago | parent [-]

Right. It seems then that all these "elite" engineers on HN aren't as smart as we thought (and yeah, I include myself in that bag).

It's deeply sad to see how our most beloved work (those side projects we pour ourselves into purely for the joy of it) will, at the end, be the very reason most of us lose our jobs (not all of us, but the majority). Openai/antrhopic/etc and others simply took all of that and turned it to their advantage. It's capitalism, sure, but it's heartbreaking... I wouldnt mind be out of job for another reason, but not for that one pls

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apsurd 5 hours ago | parent [-]

All is not lost though is it? We can invest our efforts into local models and frontier competitors.

I'm not blind, I have Claude pro (not max) and Cursor subscription. But I'm really hesitant to go balls to the wall on the most powerful models because it isn't sustainable; I don't want it to be. So how much can I get from the older models, the smaller, cheaper ones that will hopefully inevitably be commoditized. I think the harness improvements are making headway. I continue to think Cursor Composer 2 is more than adequate.

Then again if one believes it's a race to the singularity, then that's another story. I don't.

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fragmede 5 hours ago | parent [-]

Why not?

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apsurd 5 hours ago | parent [-]

The most concise answer as of now is because AI has no "will".

LLMs are objectively smarter than any one person so in some definition we've already created super-intelligence. The problem is they just sit there. They have all the answers already, if you think about it. Whenever we ask it something it gives us the answer, it's amazing, we can even say it can synthesize new information. We can agree with all the claims.

But what does it do with that super-intelligence? Nothing. It can't. it doesn't have will. Or interest. Curiosity? Biological imperative. Who knows.

So we create loops and introspection and set them free. Does giving AI a goal make the AI conscious? That's easily silly if you ask me.

(I'm trying really hard not to make this philosophy. I really like the philosophy aspect, but this is my 30 second answer to the question)

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fragmede 2 hours ago | parent [-]

The singularity won't happen because sticking a cron job in front of an LLM and telling it to do something (make money) is "silly"?

I am no philosopher but https://poc.bcachefs.org/ seems conscious.

	▲	apsurd 2 hours ago \| parent [-]
		It's not. It's no more conscious than running that cron job to send you today's weather. That's as far as I understand what this link is. The agent is posting blog updates and such. Because it was told to. It has no will. LLM generative output is incredible. It's also not conscious.