> This is the sentiment being hyped up around the industry currently: traditional coding is all but dead, and Spec Driven Development (SDD) is the future. You generate a plan, and disconnect from writing any code

Agentic agile > agentic waterfall (at least for now)

Don't give the AI a spec, work with it every step of the way.

> pulls the slot machine lever over and over (link to "One More Prompt: The Dopamine Trap of Agentic Coding")

I'm sure the first cave-person to discover how to make fire was equally "addicted" to making fires. That doesn't really say anything about the underlying technology.

> An increase in the complexity of the surrounding systems to mitigate the increased ambiguity of AI's non-determinism

I don't know what this means, exactly. Anyone have any ideas?

> Atrophying skills for a wide swath of the population

This is very real and something we're going to have to contend with. Software can't really become less complex, and there's a minimum amount of knowledge you need, with or without AIs there to help you. We may need specialized training academies for developers where they spend a few years without AI to learn to program, and then are given a few years of AI programming.

> Vendor lock-in for individuals and entire teams

This isn't really a big program, you can always switch AI providers if there's frequent downtime.

> only a skilled developer who's thinking critically, and comfortable operating at the architectural level, can spot issues in the thousands of lines of generated code, before they become a problem

Agreed...

> Yet, in an ironic twist of fate, it's the individual's critical thinking skills and cognitive clarity that AI tooling has now been proven to impact negatively.

...well, yes and no. AI tooling can help you _reduce_ cognitive debt. Picture this: There is one senior developer (Person A) on the team who understands Service X. Your other developers could schedule time with Person A to get an understanding. Or, they could ask the AI to analyze the project and explain it to them. This scales much better, and if Person A is a poor communicator (let's face it, many senior engineers are), it might be the only working option.