| ▲ | colechristensen 3 hours ago |
| >Relevant for a lot of geopolitical and corporate strategic situations as well. The whole Mideast situation we're in now is because we were in zugzwang and a couple leaders felt the compulsion to move. Taiwan is a similar situation: the best policy is "strategic ambiguity", which is holding for now, but is a bit of an unstable equilibrium. This isn't the case at all. Obama HAD a deal with Iran that Trump tanked in his first term. Israel did not have to respond to a terrorist attack with genocide. Trump could have said No to Netanyahu who clearly threatened to attack Iran with or without us, it turns out we could indeed put pressure on them not to attack, but TACO. Everything that's happening in the middle east is a series of blunders by fools. |
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| ▲ | alex43578 3 hours ago | parent | next [-] |
| And on the flip side, Iran could choose not to pursue a nuke and violate the NPT. Hamas could choose not to kill 800-some civilians and take 250 hostages, etc. |
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| ▲ | Sardtok 2 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | That nuke they are apparently working has been just around the corner for over 30 years according to Israeli propaganda. | |
| ▲ | ogogmad 12 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Iran has said that it's working on nuclear energy, not a bomb. Their pope-level religious leader said it was haram to have nuclear weapons. I know you can't necessarily trust Iran's word, but can you trust Israel's? | |
| ▲ | darkwater an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | > And on the flip side, Iran could choose not to pursue a nuke and violate the NPT. Because MAD is the only way to scare away the world's bully. | |
| ▲ | colechristensen 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Certainly, I was only talking about one side of the conflict, the errors in our own house. | |
| ▲ | gzread 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | why would Iran not make a nuke when America keeps bombing countries that don't have nukes, and avoids bombing countries that have nukes (most notably North Korea)? They have all the incentives to have a nuke so they'll stop getting bombed. Obama negotiated to avoid this but Trump ripped it up and bombed them, so they're definitely not going to trust any agreements with the west ever again. From their perspective, their only path to not getting bombed to shit involves having several nukes. It's quite rational for them to do that. |
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| ▲ | gzread 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-] |
| Small correction: Israel has been doing a genocide continually since 1948 - it didn't start in 2023. |
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