At $800B collective spend, you would hope these things are improving. The point is that have the improvements been worth $800B and counting.

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wombat-man a day ago | parent | next [-]

I think part of the motivation for the big spend by the big players is to choke out Anthropic and OpenAI. They're going to make sure they're they only ones scaling up the huge capacity they expect is needed. To meet demand, Anthropic is just going to need to pay the cloud bill to somebody, which will really hamstring their ability to profit.

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vasco 2 days ago | parent | prev [-]

Yes for sure, even if we stopped today the amount of almost free software that can be produced with current models will improve the world by a lot as the knowledge of how to use it propagates over more people.

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ygrr a day ago | parent | next [-]

The problem with this argument is that it shouldn’t take years for these developments to come about anymore. The world is incredibly interconnected via the web - it also explains ChatGPT’s explosive growth. To claim people aren’t trying would be comical - where there’s an opportunity to generate economic profits competition for it will be intense.

The best we have external to model producers is cursor and openclaw lmao. The gap between hype and reality is disgustingly large.

	▲	vasco a day ago \| parent [-]
		I don't think you're correct. Just think of things like using any computer system in your business, like a spreadsheet to keep track of inventory. From the moment software for spreadsheets became available to most businesses using them, how many years went by? I knew businesses that should have computerized processes that didn't in like 2010. So if you just apply this knowledge that even basic good things take a long time to truly spread and permeate, even if the tech stopped advancing today, the current benefits will take years to fully materialize. There's many "little software tools for X" that now any business owner with a few hours can create. I know many people improving their small businesses for free like this and helped a few friends making their lives easier with "small software" assisted by AI. People that would never afford 20 SaaS products for this and that, and would never go through the hassle of hiring someone to do it custom. And they will be able to do this even if the bubble pops and all the labs go bankrupt by just setting up a little gpu with a local model. I dunno about hype, I just know I have several friends running self made custom software "in production" for small things and almost no help for their classic "offline" businesses.

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ares623 2 days ago | parent | prev [-]

Can't wait to eat software for dinner