| ▲ | CWuestefeld 15 hours ago | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
There is this pervasive idea that MMT promotes limitless spending and I'm not sure where it comes from Right. The theory says you can (should?) spend until you hit the "inflation ceiling," then use taxes to drain liquidity. But what we saw in 2020-2022 was that we hit the ceiling at 100mph. The "tax it away" solution proved to be a political fantasy. No politician is going to hike taxes on the middle class to cool down the price of eggs. My understanding (I'm not an economist) is that MMT is currently viewed as a "fair-weather theory." It explained why we could spend during a liquidity trap, but offered no viable steering mechanism once the engine overheated. In my mind, this puts it in the same box as Keynesianism. Both theories are politically convenient because they offer politicians an excuse to pander. But those politicians aren't willing to do what their pet theory would require once the emergent crisis has passed. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▲ | throw0101a 13 hours ago | parent | next [-] | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
> But what we saw in 2020-2022 was that we hit the ceiling at 100mph. Except that 2020-2022 was not (completely) about fiscal/monetary problems that could be fixed with fiscal/monetary solutions. A good portion of the spike was because of 'outside' factor(s), e.g.: * https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russo-Ukrainian_war_(2022–pres... What would extra taxation do to help that? There are various types of inflation, categorized by 'root cause', and 'too much money' is not the source of all of them: * https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inflation#View_post-2000_to_pr... | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▲ | jjk166 13 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
> But what we saw in 2020-2022 was that we hit the ceiling at 100mph. The 2020-2022 inflation spike wasn't due to following MMT based spending policies though. Slamming the brakes at 100mph may certainly have bad consequences, but driving at 100mph in low visibility conditions was the problem, not braking before you hit something. The fact is everyone knew the combination of supply chain disruptions, remote work, and the changes in spending habits would eventually produce inflation, and yet we kept pumping money in. Every economic school would have advised against that course of action. MMT only calls for spending to keep pace with economic growth, not to run the money printers as fast as you can. Economic theories, like scientific theories, are successful if they correctly predict what will happen if you do X. If the theory of gravity predicts that you will fall to your death if you jump off a cliff, it's not a failure of the theory of gravity that it doesn't tell you how to levitate after you've already jumped. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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