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pipes 3 days ago

The raising interest rates right now makes no sense to me. Energy prices and layoffs will kill spending power. I think the central banks will overcompensate because they got inflation so wrong the last time.

mswphd 3 days ago | parent | next [-]

inflation has been persistently > 2% (and arguably much more, as the current methodology on how to measure inflation is quite flawed). There's a definite risk of inflation expectations shifting, which central bankers really want to avoid.

Your point that there's a recessionary risk is real, but lowering rates might lead to stagflation. Both options are pretty bad honestly.

altmanaltman 2 days ago | parent | prev [-]

Can you elaborate on what you mean by "central banks got inflation so wrong the last time"? You mean Covid or 2008?

pipes 2 days ago | parent [-]

Covid. The ex head of the bank of England said as much.

altmanaltman a day ago | parent [-]

I mean the American recovery after a global disaster like Covid was actually pretty good given the situation. What would you propose they should have done instead?