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pj_mukh 4 days ago

Could be nothing, or could be a new Havana Syndrome: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Havana_syndrome

What's sad is, 5-10 years ago, no adversary would think simply off-ing American scientists was effective strategy, America was a new scientist generation machine.

Now thanks to Research funding falling off a cliff and massive immigration restrictions, this is no longer true.

King-Aaron 4 days ago | parent | next [-]

Amy Eskridge - who publicly stated she was not suicidal before "committing suicide" reported to her friends that she received burns to her arms and hands through her window in an attack that sounded similar to this microwave/havana syndrome stuff. She was very vocal about the fact that she was being harassed over her work before she died.

blks 4 days ago | parent | next [-]

She is also not a scientists, but some weird grifter with her “Institute of Exotic Science” and “antigravity” paper.

thatguy0900 4 days ago | parent [-]

Sounds like the exact person we should be concerned about getting hit with scifi weapons to be honest

ineedasername 4 days ago | parent [-]

I mean, sort of? Let's put aside whatever she claims to have been working on. Then, consider, if there is a group of people more likely to be attacked by odd advanced weapons? Probably people whose work puts them into contact with with or near research into odd and exotic things. If someone was murdered in their NYC apartment and a schizophrenic neighbor claimed it was a wild tiger then sure, you'd take that with some salt. If you then found out the deceased worked at the zoo? Well...

PoignardAzur 4 days ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> Amy Eskridge - who publicly stated she was not suicidal before "committing suicide"

I really hate the discourse around this stuff. Like, yes, disguising murder as suicide is a thing and obviously three-letters agencies do it.

But someone saying publicly they're not suicidal gives you close to zero information. People with suicidal ideation almost never advertise it publicly because, one, there is a heavy amount of social stigma attached to it, and two, publicly declaring you're suicidal is a good way to get involuntarily committed to a mental health institution.

I see a ton of jokes on social media that go "remember, X is not suicidal". How the fuck would you know? This discourse is so disrespectful to people struggling with suicidal thoughts.

pwdisswordfishs 4 days ago | parent | next [-]

Subjectively, it seems like it's even prudent to consider that someone who is involved in a discussion about whether or not they're suicidal is probably likelier than average to commit suicide. Fair chance that "I'm not suicidal" should really even be understood to mean, "I'm not suicidal right now".

ineedasername 4 days ago | parent [-]

It's a little different when the person is saying "I've received threats, so if you hear something happens to me, I did NOT kill myself!"

Then, you know, bringing up suicide and it being a warning sign they're about to? The odds have shifted a bit.

ineedasername 4 days ago | parent | prev | next [-]

They publicly said they were receiving threats. And that if something happened to them, don't believe it's suicide. That's a bit different than just, you know, saying it at random, or because someone asked you how you're doing.

tasuki 4 days ago | parent | prev [-]

It's respectful to trust someone who says they're not suicidal. Saying "they could've been suicidal anyway" is disrespectful to people who aren't suicidal and are telling the truth.

If someone is struggling with suicidal thoughts and is publicly lying about it, they shall not have my respect anyway: I'm ok with being disrespectful to them.

poulpy123 4 days ago | parent | prev | next [-]

She was also very visibly delusional for years

b9apratus a day ago | parent [-]

Or troubled by her thought controls and no one can do anything to help her.

redsocksfan45 4 days ago | parent | prev [-]

[dead]

willis936 4 days ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Havana Syndrome seems to be a CIA psyop to soften the US public to warhawk policy. The proposed mechanism is... magic. Incredible stuff.

harddrivereque 4 days ago | parent | next [-]

Speaking in layman's terms, it's fancy remote microwaving.

willis936 4 days ago | parent [-]

No, it's not. There was one hasty study that claimed that early on, riddled with issues, and unable to be replicated. The symptoms are not RF burns.

CGMthrowaway 4 days ago | parent | next [-]

Source? It is known (and studied) that even at low power levels that do not significantly raise body temperature, short RF pulses can cause rapid, microscopic thermal expansion in the brain. This creates mechanical stress waves that can lead to TBIs

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Microwave_auditory_effect

quietsegfault 4 days ago | parent [-]

That's the cool thing! No one really knows, so any remotely scientific theory is indistinguishable from truth. Maybe even the more outlandish the better, so as to scare people more effectively.

CGMthrowaway 4 days ago | parent [-]

Did you mean to reply to a different comment? Struggling to connect this reply with what was said before it

anxman 4 days ago | parent | prev [-]

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/us-military-tested-device-that-...

Things have changed. The weapon was acquired by DOD.

krunck 4 days ago | parent [-]

"...the importance of the energy being pulsed in order to have biological effects on humans. When you produce pulses like this, you can actually stimulate electrically active tissue like brain tissue and the heart, for that matter, mimicking what the brain normally does, but now you're driving it with your pulses from the outside."

Ah, so a portable pulsed microwave device. Current phased array technology is certain to be able to produce a narrow and powerful beam. Current energy densities of batteries allow for a significant amount of portable power. Expecting to see "Show HN" on this soon...

mc32 4 days ago | parent | prev [-]

It’s been going on since the Obama admin. Could be longer. Purportedly a unit was smuggled out of some former Soviet republic and we now have a copy of the actual device. When tested on animals, the device produced injuries in alignment with those experienced by US foreign service personnel.

It’s been a great source of fodder for conspiracy theorists though.

yencabulator 3 days ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> simply off-ing

What if they're interrogated in an attempt to extract something very specific? The deaths could be kidnappings gone wrong.

Cytobit 4 days ago | parent | prev | next [-]

So it could be nothing or it could be nothing?

Bombthecat 4 days ago | parent [-]

Or it could be something

X-Files music plays

bko 4 days ago | parent | prev | next [-]

[flagged]

rho138 4 days ago | parent [-]

Awww your data drops off at 2023. You’re so smart.

poulpy123 4 days ago | parent | next [-]

What could have happened after 2023 ? It's a real mystery!

bko 4 days ago | parent | prev [-]

> CRS calculated that President Trump's budget proposal for FY2026 included approximately $181.4 billion for R&D, $10.7 billion (-6%) below the FY2025 estimated level of $192.2 billion. The requested $181.4 billion, which included advance and supplemental appropriations, was to support federal investments in the conduct of R&D as well as R&D-related physical assets (such as the construction of R&D facilities or equipment).

181 billion! How will we prosper as a nation if we go back to 2021 spending levels??

arisAlexis 4 days ago | parent | prev | next [-]

they probably torture them for secrets and kill them

trhway 4 days ago | parent | prev [-]

Lets say an American scientist in a strategic area was offered a boatload of money (or some other piece of mice) from China or similar. Legally probably he can move, though export control probably applies to the brain content too. How sure the said scientist would be that he isn't going to have a car accident? Gerald Bull would have a word on it. So, "disappear" may start to look like an attractive alternative. A related example - Russia has put a bunch of top hypersonic missile related scientists into prison for supposedly working with China (and may be they worked, though official charges have so far been obviously fabricated - like for publishing in a journal of an research article on a non-secret project with that article making all the typical rounds for months through peer-review, etc) as well as making a law giving FSB full control over any scientific interaction between domestic and foreign scientists and institutions.

I suppose the top AI talent may become subjects of a similar game.

b112 4 days ago | parent [-]

It doesn't have to be China or Russia. As others have mentioned, the current political climate in the US is... "weird". At least, as an outsider, I just don't know how else to describe it. It's like watching/listening to gibberish.

So I can imagine American allies recruiting scientists en-mass, to protect themselves from America. The US has currently demonstrated a desire to take over allies completely (Canada, Greenland), and I'm sure few know who may be next. Some scientists may have simply wished to move abroad, and also, have quite valuable skills which are restricted in some way, hence them "disappearing".

trhway 4 days ago | parent | next [-]

>to protect themselves from America.

not necessarily from America. The goal #1 of the US dominated NATO for example was to prevent Germany from getting nuclear weapons in exchange for protection by US. Now with US de-facto withdrawing, Germany would have to quickly get nukes (as well as missiles to carry them) - i don't see other option for Germany here giving the environment in Europe and MidEast. So they would also need such scientists. South Korea, Japan, Australia seem to be in the similar situation too. (and everybody understands that a nuclear weapons program can't be a long multi-year endeavor - somebody will try to stop you - and so it must be very fast once started, and thus you have to have ready-to-use skills and knowledge)

greedo 4 days ago | parent | next [-]

Keeping the FRG from getting nukes wasn't part of NATO strategy. The succinct reason for NATO was to keep the Soviets from marching to the Atlantic. The more pragmatic was expressed as "Keep the Russians out, the Americans in, and the Germans down."

trhway 4 days ago | parent | next [-]

You're overlooking the fact that Europe started 2 World Wars and keeping Europe at peace was a major NATO goal.

greedo 4 days ago | parent [-]

Hence the part about "...the Germans down."

PearlRiver 4 days ago | parent | prev [-]

The whole point of NATO was always to present a united front. Even the slightest HINT of doubt could embolden the enemy to test resolve.

And at this point NATO has pretty much collapsed. Trump turned his back on Ukraine and nobody wants to join operation Epstein Fury.

vasac 4 days ago | parent | prev [-]

> Germany would have to quickly get nukes

No shit? Why would they have to? Is someone ready to nuke them if it turns out they’re no longer under the U.S. nuclear umbrella, or are they some special snowflakes who should have them while Iran (and most other countries) shouldn’t?

trhway 4 days ago | parent [-]

>Is someone ready to nuke them

No. The nukes prevent the aggression even by a conventionally armed aggressor. Nukes ins't to win a war, it is to prevent one. Lets say Germany has successfully repelled Russian tank-and-soldiers invasion - it would still be a devastating thing for Germany which the nukes would help prevent from starting at all.

>are they some special snowflakes who should have them while Iran (and most other countries) shouldn’t?

Yes, i listed those several special snowflakes who were kept safe by the US nukes, and would need their own umbrella with US no longer providing the one. Iran's situation is obviously very different.

vasac 3 days ago | parent [-]

> Iran's situation is obviously very different.

Yes, very different as in 'Our blessed homeland vs their barbarous wastes' meme.

We (and our allies) should have nukes because we want to prevent wars. But no one else should have them, since the situation is obviously very different (we wouldn’t want them to be able to prevent wars).

And I used to think that Little Rocketman was a crazy bastard, but it looks like I was wrong.

trhway 3 days ago | parent [-]

>Yes, very different as in 'Our blessed homeland vs their barbarous wastes' meme.

exactly. Iran's policy declaration of destroying whole countries (US and Israel in this case) and conducting of actual proxy-wars in order to achieve those goals make them barbarians from whom the civilization must be defended.

>we wouldn’t want them to be able to prevent wars

they don't even try. They want nukes to be able to conduct wars.

>And I used to think that Little Rocketman was a crazy bastard, but it looks like I was wrong.

absolutely. For all their tremendous faults, NK uses their nukes for deterrence as they want to genocide their own people in the comfort of personal safety. Whereis ayatollahs are hellbent on waging wars and destruction in order to spread their Islamic Revolution.

vasac 2 days ago | parent [-]

I’ve heard that lower and middle education aren’t exactly the US’s strong suits, but still? The US organized a coup in Iran over 70 years ago and has never really stopped meddling in Iran’s internal affairs. The US runs proxy wars around the world on a daily basis, and when we’re talking about barbarians, they’re certainly near the top - almost a GOAT.

Melatonic 4 days ago | parent | prev [-]

Or the scientists and engineers themselves are wanting out of the US and were offered secret offers to "dissapear" and live elsewhere under a new identity

brador 4 days ago | parent [-]

We’ve just looped back to the first idea this brain dump came up with.