Indeed, and if we accept the argument of this tech approaching AGI, we should expect that within x years, the subscription cost may exceed the salary cost of a junior dev.

To be clear, I'm not saying that it's a good thing, but it does seem to be going in this direction.

If LLMs do reach AGI (assuming we have an actual agreed upon definition), it would make sense to pay way more than a junior salary. But also, LLMs won’t give us AGI (again, assuming we have an actual, meaningful definition)

I absolutely do not accept that argument. It’s clear models hit a plateau roughly a year ago and all incremental improvements come at an increasingly higher cost.

And junior devs have never added much value. The first two years of any engineer’s career is essentially an apprenticeship. There’s no value add from have a perpetually junior “employee”.