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californical 5 hours ago

But what if we could predict which treatments would be most successful with ~70% accuracy? It would potentially speed up the feedback loops right?

There may also be downsides, like skipping testing things that would enhance our fundamental understanding of something because the AI was wrong. But that’s already a problem , and having a better gauge in the early stages could be really helpful

nradov 4 hours ago | parent [-]

What if I could flap my arms and fly to the moon? You haven't presented any scientific evidence that LLMs will enable such prediction accuracy. It's pure speculation and hope. Some smaller, incremental improvements to optimize research workflows are much more likely.

mckn1ght 3 hours ago | parent | next [-]

What is your opinion on AlphaFold? Doesn’t that provide a speedup for one part of medication development and understanding disease?

californical 4 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

I’m not saying that they will, but that investing in advancements to AI overall could do that.

Not making predictions that they will, just trying to give an example of a benefit that we may get out of this