All of the smart people I know went to work at OpenAI and none at Anthropic. In addition to financial capital, OpenAI has a massive advantage in human capital over Anthropic.

As long as OpenAI can sustain compute and paying SWE $1million/year they will end up with the better product.

Are those "smart people you know" machine learning researchers?

Attracting talent with huge sums of money just gets you people who optimize for money, and it's usually never a good long-term decision. I think it's what led to Google's downturn.

> OpenAI has a massive advantage in human capital over Anthropic.

but if your leader is a dipshit, then its a waste.

Look You can't just throw money at the problem, you need people who are able to make the right decisions are the right time. That that requires leadership. Part of the reason why facebook fucked up VR/AR is that they have a leader who only cares about features/metrics, not user experience.

Part of the reason why twitter always lost money is because they had loads of teams all running in different directions, because Dorsey is utterly incapable of making a firm decision.

Its not money and talent, its execution.