>> We saw yesterday that expert orchestration around small, publicly available models can produce results on the level of the unreleased model.

This is false. Yesterday's article did not actually show this, and there are many comments in the discussion from actual security people (like tptacek) pointing that out.

From what I can tell, this was not clearly settled.

Your example author, actually corrected themselves saying LLMs “possibly” could perform successfully: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47732696