I think this correct it’s mediocre at a lot. It’s only 10x when you don’t know what you’re doing or doing something simple.

It's also more often than not good enough, which for a specialist is bad, and for most everyone else is absolutely sufficient.

I don't necessarily agree with that... I think that it's a matter of perspective. I find that AI tends to make a lot of the same errors I've seen from actual developers, especially when interacting or leading foreign dev teams.

When I spend a lot of time in planning mode, I tend to get a lot more value out of the output and have to redirect far less. It also helps to establish your API interfaces, reference points, interactions, behaviors and even a lot of the test harnesses ahead of development cycles. You need to define a lot more ahead of letting it go.

I would say that I'm getting maybe 2.5x the value and 5-10x the output from AI... by value, I mean what the end user/customer cares about... by 5-10x I'm including the increased documentation, testing, etc.