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ndsipa_pomu 2 days ago

I really can't see how the US can fully reopen the strait without a major land invasion. They'd need to occupy pretty much all the coastal regions to be able to prevent drones (air and sea) being launched to attack ships trying to pass through. The thing is that ships are going to be vulnerable for all of their journey through the Strait, so it's not like the US can just defend one part. They could try using escort ships, but that'll work out very expensive as they'll be destroyed by cheap drones sooner or later.

Even if the US manages to occupy all the coastal areas, then those areas become the new targets rather than the ships, so it'll end up being extremely costly to the US in terms of people and resources.

It's such a huge strategic mistake to attack Iran just to keep Israel happy.

energy123 2 days ago | parent [-]

The former CENTCOM commander said that all you need to reopen the strait is fires and short raids, not occupying the territory.

ndsipa_pomu 2 days ago | parent | next [-]

I don't see how that happens. What's to stop Iranians placing more mines in the water or launching drones to attack oil tankers?

energy123 2 days ago | parent [-]

Did you read what I wrote? I already laid it out. The US degrades the mines, mine laying vessels, and so on. Then the risk is reduced to a level that's acceptable for commercial shipping. That level isn't zero, despite what people say online. If you want a historical case study, look at the 1980s.

general1465 2 days ago | parent [-]

You can drop a sea mine from literal speed boat. Just kick it into a water. Why would you want to use a slow purpose build mine layer for that?

HDThoreaun 2 days ago | parent | prev [-]

Iran can fire drones from the interior that they store in underground caves until minutes before they fire them. Fires and short raids won’t accomplish shit.

“No one thought Iran would be able to close the straight” -Trump