Remix.run Logo
acdha 2 days ago

> It's true not every single IRGC member or leader can be bombed out of existence. But many can.

In the last half century, we tried that in Vietnam, Iraq, Afghanistan, and now Iran. When is it going to start working?

The problem is that blowing stuff up creates enemies, not friends, so each time you kill one senior leader you create incentives for the other people those bombs killed to decide you’re worse than the target.

leereeves 2 days ago | parent [-]

In 2024, a survey by GAMAAN estimated that "A significant majority of Iranians (around 70%) oppose the continuation of the Islamic Republic."

Then the government of Iran murdered thousands to crush protests and retain power. Why would the people of Iran still be upset at the death of senior government leaders? (Apart from the minority who already supported the regime, continued to support them even as they killed protestors, and are very loud now.)

1: https://gamaan.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/Iranians-Polit...

acdha 20 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Yes, I’m aware. I have no love for the Iranian regime and would cheer their collapse if it lead to something better. However, bombing civilians will not make friends in general and in this case doing so on behalf of Israel is a gift to the IRGC because it supports decades of regime propaganda. Anyone who was inclined to say America cared for the Iranian people in February now has a mountain of bodies and rubble to make them reconsider.

padjo 2 days ago | parent | prev [-]

What direction do you reckon support has been trending in the last month?

leereeves 2 days ago | parent [-]

I have no information about that, and of course no one currently in Iran would dare say anything bad about the regime right now.

However, I find it hard to imagine anyone thinking:

"I didn't like the Islamic Republic, and I was pissed and afraid when they killed thousands of protestors, but now that some of the leaders have been killed by the US, I've changed my mind about the Islamic Republic."