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elicash 3 hours ago

Your comment is a great addition to the conversation. I do just want to add the scale point, though. That source is less than a million was bet, and now there are hundreds of millions bet on the ceasefire, and millions more on other Iran bets, and then even more bet on Russia/Ukraine.

So I think it's a bit overstated to frame it as nothing is new. But your historical context is helpful.

rayiner 3 hours ago | parent [-]

> That source is less than a million was bet, and now there are hundreds of millions bet on the ceasefire, and millions more on other Iran bets, and then even more bet on Russia/Ukraine.

I'd imagine those numbers are typical for any transaction facilitated by the Internet comparing 2003 to 2026.

elicash 2 hours ago | parent [-]

It seems to me there's an explosion in just the last few years that's noteworthy -- that gambling on war did not simply grow hand-in-hand with all web purchases. Am happy to be wrong, but that's my experience seeing this play out.