Yep. No way they’re opening the Strait of Hormuz until the US/Israel gets the fuck out of Iran.

They’re not in Iran. Both countries have announced an end to offensive operations in the past half hour or so.

	▲	nickvec 9 hours ago \| parent [-]
		I thought it was only for two weeks? Unless I'm missing some big news.

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bawolff 9 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

And no way US stops bombing them unless they open the strait (I say US because Israel doesnt care about the strait).

I think such an agreement is plausible. Trump really cares about oil prices, and i imagine Iranian leadership would really like to stop being bombed.

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computerex 8 hours ago | parent [-]

There is no military solution to open the strait. The fact is that Iran is not unarmed children of Gaza. Iran has capability to hit back. Iran can set alight the gulf states and cripple the world economy. You can’t bomb your way through everything.

	▲	bawolff 5 hours ago \| parent \| next [-]
		> There is no military solution to open the strait. There is no cheap & fast military solution. There are certainly military solutions if you are ok with it taking a while or costing a lot of lives. > Iran has capability to hit back They have demonstrated they can make the surounding countries miserable. They arent capable of actually getting a military victory. Which is why a deal is plausible. USA doesnt want to spend (in money and lives) what it would cost to open the strait. Iran demonstrates it can hit back enough to be annoying but not enough to force a victory. Sounds like neither side is exactly capable of "winning" (without us spending more than it wants), so a deal sounds plausible.
	▲	throwaway290 6 hours ago \| parent \| prev [-]
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