> one or more teams of researchers in the field going dark

If the intelligence community is going to nab the first team that has a quantum computing breakthrough, does it actually help the public to speed up research?

It seems like an arms race the public is destined to lose because the winning team will be subsumed no matter what.

> It seems like an arms race the public is destined to lose ...

By what margin? An active push can minimize the gap.

However I think you're confusing the existence of a CRQC with adoption of PQC algorithms. The latter can be done in the absence of the former.

It's the same logic as any offensive technology: maybe the world would be a better place if we never invented the technology, but we can't risk our enemies having it while we don't, and even if they never develop it maybe it'll help us, and we're the good guys.

Luckily, in this particular arms race, all we the public need to do is swap encryption algorithms, and there's no risk of ending global civilization if we mess up. So we get the best of both worlds: Quantum computing for civilian purposes (simulations and whatnot), while none of the terrifying surveillance capabilities. We just need to update a couple of libraries.