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zozbot234 3 hours ago

Even if the AI frontier becomes "totally commoditized" it will still be reliant on a scarce factor, namely leading-edge chips. Chipmakers will ultimately capture that value, because competing it away would require expanding the industry and that's a very slow process involving billion-dollar expenses planned far in advance (multiple years, and that lead time can only expand further as the required scale gets even larger).

baron816 2 hours ago | parent | next [-]

You don’t think open AI models will eventually be able to design and build chips and fabs and all their components?

kdkl 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Except you're neglecting the fact that LLMs can become more efficient.

The magical thing about software is that efficiency gains can come pretty quickly relative to other industries.

MarsIronPI 2 hours ago | parent [-]

We're already seeing this with Qwen 3.5 and Gemma 4. They're better than GPT-3.5 and they run on smartphones and old laptops.