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| ▲ | qsera 5 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | >we would still have access to capable agents. But they would be outdated, right? Would an agent that can only code in COBOL would be as useful today? | | |
| ▲ | iugtmkbdfil834 4 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | By six months. Surely, non-SOTA models can eventually get not outdated. And your argument ignores 'new model development suddenly stopped' aspect. If it stops, there is nothing be to be outdated to.. | |
| ▲ | lxgr 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | > But they would be outdated, right? Outdated compared to what? In your counterfactual, VC funded agents don't exist anymore, no? Your argument, if I understand it correctly, is that they might somehow go away entirely when VC funding dries up, when more realistically they'll probably at most become twice as expensive or regress half a year in performance. | | |
| ▲ | Jensson 3 hours ago | parent [-] | | > Outdated compared to what? In your counterfactual, VC funded agents don't exist anymore, no? Outdated compared to reality / humans, their knowledge cutoff is a year further behind every year they don't get updates. Humans continuously expands their knowledge, the models needs to keep up with that. |
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| ▲ | loeg 4 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | Well, the Chinese shops are propped up by the CCP instead. | | |
| ▲ | samusiam 4 hours ago | parent [-] | | That's true, but the "AI bubble bursts" scenario is usually tied to Western investors getting essentially margin-called. If that happens, the CCP won't suddenly stop their investment; Chinese models will most likely continue developing. |
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