How is this any different from betting on when Israel or America would invade Iran? Wouldn't Iranians be dying in an invasion?

The optics look really bad for the regime. One or two of the remaining hardcore maggots might come to their senses if they see open betting on the lives of American pilots, and at this point the regime needs all the help they can get to maintain legitimacy. Polymarket is a partially regime-owned enterprise and therefore has to work in the interests of the regime. But even putting this aside, any change would be bound to result in more regulatory scrutiny.

USA and Israel good, Iran bad. Kindergarten logic. Works pretty well.

Yeah but how many Iranians bet on Polymarket? /s

What an antisemitic thing to say