It can be both :) My experience with Azure is very poor compared to AWS. But I don't doubt that ai slop is ramping up github usage like never before.

I'd agree it's a bit of both, but raw commit numbers are meaningless without context.

If you sample Show HN, you'll see examples with a big first commit and then 13 iterations on the README, no actions. There's at least one there right now with a quick skim and click through. If this kind of usage pattern is the source of downtime... I should probably sell my stock, probably should regardless