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pinkmuffinere 10 hours ago

> If you actually give them all the data

What does "all the data" mean here? I see you mentioned SEC posts. What about news articles, twitter / blog / other posts, general info on the industries, etc?

I assume these are simulated trades, not real trades being executed. How accurately do you take into account trading fees, time from order-decision to order-placement, and things like this?

I would be interested to see the same test run on some prediction market (kalshi / polymarket / etc). In the stock market, a rising tide lifts all boats, so it's easy to deceive yourself about how well you've done, vs how important initial timing was. I suspect that prediction markets will eliminate that source of noise, since it's truly a 0 sum game. That said, it also adds lots of complication, insider trading will eat into your performance more, etc.