I would be inclined to agree with this except that my "most common needs" keeps expanding and increasing in difficulty each year. In 2023 and 2024, most of my needs were asking models simple questions and getting a response. They were a drop-in replacement for Stack Overflow. I think the best open source models today that I can run on my laptop serve that need.

Now that coding agents are a thing my frame of reference has shifted to where I now consider a model that can be that my most common need. And unfortunately open models today cannot do that reliably. They might, like you said, be able to in a year or two, but by then the cloud models will have a new capability that I will come to regard as a basic necessity for doing software development.

All that said this looks like a great release and I'm looking forward to playing around with it.