The war in Gaza is over. There are still deaths, but they're the "ordinary" deaths of two countries who hate each other. Hamas is back to chucking rockets over the wall; Israel is back to disproportionate responses.

https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israeli-military-s...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Palestinian_rocket_att... (Nobody has created a 2026 article yet.)

At that pace, it can continue indefinitely. They are replacing people and ammunition faster than they're killing/using them.

The war in Iran is supposed to end that, or at least shift it. Without Iranian support, Gaza could collapse.

What happens after that, I cannot even begin to guess. Maybe the Palestinian Authority from the West Bank takes over. They've got an OK-ish relationship with Israel, though Israel keeps testing that relationship with more and more settlements by religious fanatics.

It's at least as likely that Netanyahu loses the election in October, at which point he may be prosecuted. Nobody in Israel is exactly in favor of the Palestinians, but there are at least some who aren't going to actively antagonize them. That will depend on their relationship with the US, which may change in November.