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chasd00 11 hours ago

I get the feeling investors are going to watch Starship explode and explode while it's being developed without understanding the trial/error, hardware rich, approach SpaceX takes and not like it. That's going to hurt the stock price and therefore hurt the company. Before, when Starship exploded people just pointed and laughed at Musk but SpaceX kept going. For better or for worse it doesn't really bother him, don't forget he got literally laughed out of the room when he proposed a re-usable orbital booster. Now those people actually matter because they'll sell/short and kill the stock price and therefore materially hurt the company. I replied to a sibling about Tesla, remember the shorts nearly killed Tesla before it even had a chance. The technology was there and the concept proven but the shorters almost killed the whole thing. IMO Tesla went public way too early and it almost cost them everything. idk what SpaceX has to gain by going public, are they hurting for cash? Based on the pace of development in Boca Chica it doesn't appear so.

/not a finance or investment expert just my observations and feelings

JumpCrisscross 8 hours ago | parent | next [-]

> get the feeling investors are going to watch Starship explode and explode while it's being developed without understanding the trial/error, hardware rich, approach SpaceX takes

Investors have been doing this since SpaceX first raised outside funding. American capital markets are not that risk averse.

notahacker 8 hours ago | parent [-]

tbf those investments weren't traded on a liquid market, and I suspect Founders Fund are less worried about short term setbacks than your average mutual fund or mug punter.

But of course we also know that Musk-run public companies are immune to normal dynamics of worrying about next quarter's returns (or even worrying about the CEO publicly torching his brand equity) so the very last thing I'd imagine happening is SpaceX becoming risk averse and profitability focused

JumpCrisscross 7 hours ago | parent [-]

> Founders Fund are less worried about short term setbacks than your average mutual fund

Fidelity has been an investor since 2014. The only new money flows will be index and retail; everyone else has had access for years.

karmakurtisaani 8 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

> idk what SpaceX has to gain by going public

They will save Elons shitty AI investment by making the public bag holders.