Number 1 would only be a win for zero-installs if it happened that registry was up when you made the security hotfix, since you'd need to install the depdencency the first time to get it in VC, but then suddenly down when doing a deploy. Seems like a highly unlikely scenario to me. Also, cases where npm CVEs must be patched with such urgency or bad things will happen are luckily very rare, in my experience.

Most npm CVEs are stuff like DDoS vulnerabilities, and you should have mitigations for those in place for at the infra-level anyway (e.g. request timeouts, rate limits, etc), or you are pretty much guaranteed to be cooked sooner or later anyway. The really dangerous stuff like arbitrary command execution from a library that takes end user input is much much more rare. The most recent big one I remember is React2shell.

Number 2 hasn't been much of an issue for a long time. npm doesn't allow unpublishing package after 72 hours (apart from under certain rare conditions).

Don't know about number 3. Would feel to me that if you have something running that can modify lockfile, they can probably also modify the chekced-in tars.

I can see how zero-installs are useful under some specific constraints where you want to minimize dependencies to external services, e.g. when your CI runs under strict firewalls. But for most, nah, not worth it.

> you'd need to install the depdencency the first time to get it in VC, but then suddenly down when doing a deploy.

Which dependency? It sounds like you are assuming some specific scenario, whereas the fix can take many forms. In immediate term, the quickest step could be to simply disable some feature. A later step may be vendoring in a safe implementation.

The registry doesn’t need to be actually down for you, either; the necessary condition is that your CI infrastructure can’t reach it.

> cases where npm CVEs must be patched with such urgency or bad things will happen are luckily very rare, in my experience.

Not sure what you mean by “npm CVEs”. The registry? The CLI tool?

As I wrote, if you are running compromised software in production, you want to fix it ASAP. In first moments you may not even know whether bad things will happen or not, just that you are shipping malicious code to your users. Even if you are lucky enough to determine with 100% confidence (putting your job on the line) that the compromise is inconsequential, you don’t want to keep shipping that code for another hour because your install step fails due to a random CI infra hiccup making registry inaccessible (as happened in my experience at least half dozen times in years prior, though luckily not in a circumstance where someone attempted to push an urgent security fix). Now imagine it’s not a random hiccup but part of a coordinated targeted attack, and somehow it becomes something anticipated.

> Number 2 hasn't been much of an issue for a long time. npm doesn't allow unpublishing package after 72 hours (apart from under certain rare conditions).

Those rare conditions exist. Also, you are making it sound as if the registry is infallible, and no humans and/or LLMs there accept untrusted input from their environment.

The key aspect of modern package managers, when used correctly, is that even when the registry is compromised you are fine as long as integrity check crypto holds up and you hold on to your pre-compromise dependency tree. The latter is not a technical problem but a human problem, because conditions can be engineered in which something may slip past your eyes. If this slip-up can be avoided at little to no cost—in fact, with benefits, since zero-installs shortens CI times, and therefore time-to-fix, due to dramatically shorter or fully eliminated install step—it should be a complete no-brainer.

> Don't know about number 3. Would feel to me that if you have something running that can modify lockfile, they can probably also modify the chekced-in tars.

As I wrote, I suspect it’d complicate such attacks or make them easier to spot, not make them impossible.