| ▲ | tonymet 14 hours ago |
| They’ve killed dozens during the shuttle program , or did you forget ? Also a number during Gemini, Mercury and Appollo. Terrible safety record , and 5x worse than Soyuz . Shuttle fatality rate was 1/10. Approaching Russian roulette odds |
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| ▲ | staplung 14 hours ago | parent | next [-] |
| In total, a little over one dozen astronauts died on shuttle flights (14). No astronauts died during Gemini or Mercury. Three died in a test on Apollo 1. The shuttle failure rate was nowhere close to 1/10. In fact, it was 1/67 (2 failures out of 134 flights). |
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| ▲ | 1shooner 14 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| >They’ve killed dozens during the shuttle program Columbia and Challenger crew totaled 14, who else are you referring to? |
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| ▲ | mikelitoris 14 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| It’s the American roulette |
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| ▲ | shrubble 14 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| *Freedom Roulette |
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| ▲ | wat10000 14 hours ago | parent | prev [-] |
| 135 missions, 2 fatal accidents, that’s not 1/10. |
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| ▲ | tonymet 11 hours ago | parent [-] | | It is if you’re dead | | |
| ▲ | kelnos 9 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | That... doesn't make any sense. | | |
| ▲ | tonymet 4 hours ago | parent [-] | | If the odds were only 1% , how did 14 people die ? You’re not including the lives in your risk assessment . There were 135 events and 14 people died . If you were asked to join mission 136 would you say yes or no? Which risk profile fits: 1% fatality or 10%? | | |
| ▲ | wat10000 an hour ago | parent [-] | | By that logic, the fatality rate in NYC skyscrapers on 9/11 was something like 1500%, since there were <200 skyscrapers and ~2,700 people died. It doesn't make any sense. Your numerator and denominator need to use the same units. The rate of fatal accidents was 2/135. The rate of crew fatalities was 14/355. The rate for crew-flight fatalities (separately counting multiple flights by the same person) was 14/852. If you were evaluating your risk for another flight, the number of crew aboard doesn't affect the risk and it's pretty reasonable to assume that an accident results in either a 0% or 100% fatality rate, so the relevant figure would be the fatal accident rate of 2/135. If your flight follows that profile then that's your probability of dying in an accident. | | |
| ▲ | tonymet an hour ago | parent [-] | | You still haven't explained how so many died and why the program ended. |
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| ▲ | wat10000 6 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | Wat |
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